So what are the chances of Tare Zameen Par to get a nomination or even better, win the Oscar for best foreign language film category ? First my usual rant. The Oscars do NOT represent the ultimate in films of that year. 85% of the foreign language films are not even seen by the voters. There are beautiful Vietnamese, African, South American, Japanese and other Asian films that are absolute treasures that just pass by without notice, because there is no one to back them.
TZP has a great theme, it is emotionally moving and has a brilliant performance at it’s centre. That should be good enough to get it nominated. Especially as autism is a subject that in the US (where all the voters live) has been the subject of a very volatile debate recently. So it should at least get a nomination. I suspect that most films this year will be political in nature given what the world is going through. So TZP will stand out……
However – I have not seen the other films and a lot depends on what else is out there. Also, being the first of it’s kind in India, the script of TZP naturally hits the whole concept a bit hard on its head. It was needed it here I think. But the central performance is as subtle and believable as any I have ever seen. So it kind of balances that out.
A lot depends on how Aamir approaches the politics of nominations, how much attention and support he can lobby for. Yes, lobbying is an important part of being nominated. I have seen Aamir at work before. When he wants to do something he is relentless. I hope he wins. he deserves to.
But next year will be fascinating. I have seen so many really good films out there made by new directors. Expect an almighty political battle for India’s nomination next year. And why not ? A win or a nomination adds substantially to the International Box Office.